Figure 56. BCG-matrix for Ukrainian agricultural market
Market | Market Growth | Relative Market Share | R, % | |
1 | Maize | 0.53 | 3.87 | 12.4 |
2 | Wheat | 0.71 | 0.41 | 32.1 |
3 | Soybeans | 0.86 | 1.42 | 3.3 |
4 | Sugar beet | 1.21 | 0.62 | 6.6 |
5 | Barley | 0.50 | 1.01 | 7.0 |
6 | Sunflower seed | 1.07 | 1.28 | 32.3 |
7 | Rapeseed | 0.71 | 2.14 | 6.2 |
Source: KNU estimates
Appendix 14. Market forces
Figure 57. Porter five forces analysis for Ukrainian agriculture
Force | Weight | Oil market | Grain market | ||
Threat of new competition | X | 3.9 | 3.7 | ||
Existence of entry barriers | 1/9 | 4 | 4 | ||
Economies of product differences | 1/9 | 3 | 3 | ||
Brand equity | 1/9 | 5 | 4 | ||
Capital requirements for new players | 1/9 | 5 | 5 | ||
Access to distribution | 1/9 | 4 | 4 | ||
Customer loyalty to established brands | 1/9 | 4 | 3 | ||
Advantages of prime cost | 1/9 | 4 | 3 | ||
Industry profitability | 1/9 | 4 | 4 | ||
Governmental or regulatory reaction to new players | 1/9 | 2 | 3 | ||
Threat of substitute products | X | 3.7 | 2.3 | ||
Buyer propensity to subsitute | 1/6 | 4 | 2 | ||
Relative price performance of substitute | 1/6 | 4 | 3 | ||
Buyer switching costs | 1/6 | 2 | 2 | ||
Perceived level of product differentiation | 1/6 | 5 | 2 | ||
Number of substitute products available in the market | 1/6 | 4 | 2 | ||
Quality depreciation | 1/6 | 3 | 3 | ||
Bargaining power of suppliers | X | 2.3 | 2.4 | ||
Supplier switching costs relative to firm switching costs | 1/8 | 2 | 2 | ||
Differentiation degree of inputs | 1/8 | 3 | 3 | ||
Impact of inputs on cost | 1/8 | 4 | 4 | ||
Presence of substitute inputs | 1/8 | 2 | 3 | ||
Strength of distribution channel | 1/8 | 3 | 3 | ||
Supplier concentration to firm concentration ratio
| 1/8 | 2 | 2 | ||
Employee solidarity | 1/8 | 2 | 2 | ||
Quantity of suppliers | 1/8 | 5 | 5 | ||
Bargaining power of buyers | X | 3.1 | 2.5 | ||
Buyer concentration to firm concentration ratio | 1/8 | 2 | 2 | ||
Degree of dependency upon existing distribution channels | 1/8 | 4 | 4 | ||
Bargaining leverage | 1/8 | 3 | 2 | ||
Buyer switching costs relative to firm switching costs | 1/8 | 2 | 2 | ||
Information availability for buyers | 1/8 | 3 | 3 | ||
Buyer price sensitivity | 1/8 | 4 | 2 | ||
Uniqueness of industry products | 1/8 | 2 | 2 | ||
Quantity of buyers | 1/8 | 5 | 3 | ||
Intensity of competitive rivalry | X | 3.6 | 3.5 | ||
Sustainable competitive advantage through innovation | 1/8 | 4 | 3 | ||
Level of advertising expense | 1/8 | 5 | 2 | ||
Flexibility through customization, volume and variety | 1/8 | 3 | 3 | ||
Market saturation | 1/8 | 5 | 5 | ||
Market growth rate | 1/8 | 1 | 2 | ||
First party ambitions | 1/8 | 4 | 4 | ||
Ambitions of rival shareholders | 1/8 | 4 | 5 | ||
Quantity of competitors | 1/8 | 3 | 4 |
Source: KNU estimates
Appendix 15. Technical Analysis
Figure 58. Technical Analysis Forecast
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Source: KNU estimates
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